Copyright National Association of REALTORS®, Reprinted from REALTOR.org with permission.
The new incentives address this issue and require all who sign one to modify all second mortgages after the first has been modified. This means stretching out the second home loan term and decreasing the interest rate to the level of the first mortgage. The government will then help subsidize the lenders' costs for bring the interest rate down to 1 percent on most fixed and adjustable rate mortgages, and 2 percent for interest-only loans.
Help for the previous administration's Hope for Homeowners plan is also included in the new incentives. Participation to this point has been minimal, but the government hopes that more will join up with program now that it will be embraced under the Obama team's blanket of affordability measures.
Hope for Homeowners scared many lenders away because it required strict borrower qualification standards and did not allow for second lien issues. Now the program will provide lenders with a $2,500 up-front payment for helping borrowers refinance. And lenders originating the new loans will be encouraged with $1,000 a year for three years, as long as the borrower remains on top of the payments.
Will these incentives be enough to coerce more major lenders into the mortgage modification playing field. That remains to be seen, but obviously the government believes it has provided the proper enticements to get them involved in serious foreclosure prevention efforts.
January 8
During the first week of the month, interest rates on 30-year fixed rate mortgages (FRM), as reported by Freddie Mac, fell to 5.01 percent, excluding points, from 5.14 percent the previous week. The average rate on a 15-year FRM dropped to 4.62 percent from 4.91 percent, while the one-year adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) held steady at an average of 4.95 percent.
According to Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist, interest rates on long-term loans fell for the tenth week "in part to the Federal Reserve's recent purchases of mortgage-backed securities issued by Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae," said.
January 15
As the Fed continued to pump money in to the nation's banks, 30-year
FRM loans fell to 4.96 percent in the second week, the lowest rate on
record since the 1971 beginning of the Freddie Mac survey. The decrease
was attributed to news of rising unemployment as well as generally poor
economic indicators. 
January 22
The long-term mortgage interest rate jumped up in the third week to 5.12 percent, with Freddie Mac noting that even with the increase, rates had averaged 0.25 percentage points lower during January then they did during the previous month. This allowed many homeowners to refinance out of risky adjustable rate mortgages.
January 29
The month ended with interest rate barely changing during the last week. The average rate on a 30-year FRM loan slipped down to 5.10 percent, while the 15-year FRM remained unchanged at 4.80 percent from the previous week and the one-year ARM dropped to 4.90 percent from 4.92 percent.
What's Next for Interest Rates?
The future of interest rates for February looks volatile but general predictions have rates moving slightly upward. The driving factors may be a mix of reports of high unemployment and the continued debating of the next stimulus package in the House and Senate.
Home Sales Pace
Sales of existing U.S.
homes
fell in November, according to the National Association of Realtors, by
8.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.49 million units, a
decrease from 4.91 million the previous month. Sales were also off by
10.6 percent from October 2007 figures.
The national median home price also dropped in November, falling to $181,300 from $186,500 in October. The median price one year earlier was $208,700.
The NAR defines existing homes as all previously owned single-family homes, townhouses, condominiums, and co-ops. The group "seasonally adjusts" the sales numbers to factor in things like inclement weather, school sessions, winter holidays, etc to smooth out the trends. The NAR also describes its sales data based on an annual pace. The monthly figure represents the total number of housing units sold in one year if the current rate were to continue unchanged.
Sales Pace by Region
Existing home sales dropped across the board in November, with the Northeast posting the largest month-to-month declines. Sales there sank by 12 percent to 730,000 units, compared with October's 830,000 units. In a year-over-year comparison, sales were down by 18 percent.
The South saw a 10.9 percent decline in sales to 1.64 million homes, with sales falling 17.6 percent since November 2007.
The sales pace in the Midwest fell by 7.4 percent in November from the previous month to 1 million units, and is down 16 percent from last year during the same time.
The West experienced a 4.3 percent monthly drop in sales, but the number of units sold was still up a solid 17.9 percent over last year's figures.
Home Prices
The median home price, the point at which half of all homes are sold
for more and half are sold for less, decreased in November for the
sixth consecutive month, led by another significant price slide in the
West.
The median price for homes in the Western United States fell to $242,500, down from $258,900 in October. The current price represents a 25.5 percent decrease from November 2007.
The Midwest median sales price dropped by another $3,000 and is down by 11.2 percent on a year-over-year basis.
The median price in the South fell to $154,500 from $160,800 in October. Compared with one year earlier, the price was down 10.6 percent.
In the Northeast, median home prices fell to $257,700 in November from $241,800 the previous month. Prices were down.01 percent versus last year when median prices were at $257,900.
Inventory
The number of existing homes for sale in the U.S. increased in November to 11.2 million units, up from October's 10.3 million units.
—- from our December Newsletter —-
After facing months of criticism for sitting on the sidelines as the U.S. mortgage market fell to pieces, the Federal Reserve board was very busy in November, taking drastic measures in an attempt to shore up the faltering lending industry.
On Sunday, November 21, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, current Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, and next-in-line Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner announced a new bailout package for the troubled Citigroup. The decision to invest an additional $20 billion dollars in the company's preferred stock comes hard on the heels of last month's move to inject $25 billion to help the company work off its bad debt and restore consumer confidence in the Citigroup's fiscal future.
The government has also promised to back $306 billion of the company's failing mortgages and other problem assets.
"With these transactions, the U.S. government is taking the actions necessary to strengthen the financial system and protect U.S. taxpayers," the agencies said.
Although the banking giant had the largest market share in 2006, Citigroup has fallen to fifth place among U.S. banks as the many subprime and other exotic loans on its books have soured.
Moreover, while the bold move by the Fed apparently had the desired effect (Citigroup's stock skyrocketed almost 60 percent the day after the announcement), many wonder if the taxpayers will be the hardest hit by this deal in the end. The government is committed to buying 254 million Citigroup shares at almost twice the current market cost.
This is certainly not the first of such actions by the
federal government. Trying to stave of widespread financial panic, the
Fed gave fiscal aid to JPMorgan Chase in March to buyout Bear Stearns.
The next big move was placing mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in government conservatorship. "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are so large and so interwoven in our financial system," Secretary Paulson said on September 7, "that a failure of either of them would cause great turmoil in our financial markets here at home and around the globe."
A bailout of insurance corporation American International Group (AIG) took place at the same time.
Then, just two days after the second Citigroup rescue plan was announced, the Fed made the much talked-about but highly controversial decision to start buying up mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and direct obligations from Freddie and Fannie. The plan calls for $100 billion for purchasing the mortgage-related debt obligations and $500 billion for MBS transactions.
"This action is being taken to reduce the cost and increase the availability of credit for the purchase of houses, which in turn should support housing markets and foster improved conditions in financial markets more generally,'' the central bank said in a statement.
The Fed also issued a statement the same day pledging $200 billion to guarantee consumer loans like credit card debt, and car and student loans.
While the effect of all these Fed programs on the U.S. mortgage markets is still unclear, most analysts feel it is unlikely that we have seen the last of government intervention in the free market, at least not until the economy stabilizes at non-recession levels again.